Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.167229 0.194298 0.224399 0.260364 0.302186 0.349311 0.406482
2025-03-23 0.125509 0.161672 0.206228 0.265218 0.341383 0.436574 0.564860
2025-03-30 0.099811 0.138015 0.188526 0.260311 0.359951 0.493749 0.687739
2025-04-06 0.083306 0.122024 0.176234 0.257856 0.378045 0.549189 0.812646
2025-04-13 0.071978 0.110811 0.167945 0.258383 0.398554 0.608583 0.949206
2025-04-20 0.065813 0.105949 0.167686 0.269907 0.435821 0.696108 1.138594
2025-04-27 0.060282 0.101073 0.166414 0.279136 0.469968 0.782187 1.336351
2025-05-04 0.055368 0.096387 0.164602 0.286841 0.502021 0.868055 1.544287
2025-05-11 0.050229 0.090551 0.159984 0.288889 0.524216 0.939335 1.735510
2025-05-18 0.045122 0.084052 0.153314 0.286248 0.537372 0.995755 1.906454
2025-05-25 0.039894 0.076638 0.144051 0.277552 0.538009 1.029003 2.037528
2025-06-01 0.037430 0.074078 0.143346 0.284745 0.569370 1.122969 2.297479
2025-06-08 0.034330 0.069985 0.139399 0.285436 0.588693 1.197208 2.530585
2025-06-15 0.032052 0.067259 0.137810 0.290689 0.617976 1.295078 2.826480
2025-06-22 0.028972 0.062483 0.131500 0.285304 0.624237 1.346067 3.028543
2025-06-29 0.026503 0.058690 0.126757 0.282610 0.635804 1.409428 3.266035
2025-07-06 0.024584 0.055855 0.123701 0.283189 0.654581 1.490576 3.554668
2025-07-13 0.023798 0.055454 0.125895 0.295836 0.702340 1.642392 4.029552
2025-07-20 0.022866 0.054598 0.126958 0.305964 0.745430 1.788612 4.510824
2025-07-27 0.021878 0.053492 0.127308 0.314421 0.785526 1.932551 5.006093
2025-08-03 0.020570 0.051452 0.125224 0.316668 0.810552 2.042850 5.430473
2025-08-10 0.019072 0.048766 0.121278 0.313770 0.822173 2.121101 5.781434
2025-08-17 0.017348 0.045304 0.115033 0.304226 0.815365 2.151433 6.007468